DISCLAIMER: This is a quantitative framework for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
BlackBerry Limited
BlackBerry Limited is a Waterloo, Ontario software company that long ago exited phones and now sells two things. First, QNX — a safety-certified real-time operating system embedded in the electronics of more than 275 million vehicles (digital cockpits, ADAS, domain controllers) plus a growing base of industrial, robotics and medical devices. Second, Secure Communications — encrypted messaging, unified endpoint management (UEM) and crisis-alerting (AtHoc / Critical Event Management) sold mostly to governments and regulated enterprises. Its edge is trust and lock-in: QNX is certified to automotive-safety standards (ISO 26262) and designed into 10-15 year vehicle programs, so once it wins a platform it collects per-unit royalties for the life of the model — a contracted royalty backlog that reached roughly US$950M in FY2026 (up ~85% YoY). After years of losses the company is now profitable, cash-generative and growing revenue in the mid-20s percent, with both segments clearing the software 'Rule of 40'. Think of it as an under-the-hood infrastructure-software supplier — invisible to consumers, but sticky and recurring once embedded.
| Horizon | Signal | Composite Score | Confidence | Key Driver |
|---|
| Short-term (1–3 mo) | HOLD | 40 | 45% | overbought + expensive |
| Medium-term (6–12 mo) | HOLD | 44 | 50% | priced for perfection |
| Long-term (3–5 yr) | HOLD | 48 | 50% | great business, rich price |
Next update: 2026-07-17 — default +14d (Q2 FY27 earnings 2026-09-24 is the next hard catalyst)
1
Five-Pillar Scorecard
Five independent scores — each 0–100 with its own confidence. The three fundamental pillars (Quality / Valuation / Timing) set the base BUY/HOLD/SELL via the Decision Matrix; the two context pillars (Underlying Drivers, Economic Alignment) then amplify a BUY to STRONG BUY or a SELL to STRONG SELL when both corroborate.
Business Quality
61
solid
conf 70%
Valuation Attractiveness
22
expensive
conf 75%
Entry/Exit Timing
38
extended
conf 60%
Underlying Drivers
64
tailwind
conf 65%
Economic Alignment
60
Trend-Following
conf 60%
2
Hard Gates & Do-Not-Buy Status
Binary safety checks — any TRIGGERED gate is a hard cap regardless of the scores above; CAUTION gates are sizing notes.
✅Financial Distress
Net cash (US$351M cash vs US$221M debt), FCF +US$105M TTM, current ratio 2.2×, interest coverage 14.7×. No distress.
✅Earnings Quality (7b)
TTM net income (~US$60M) is BELOW TTM operating income (~US$66M) — profit is not inflated by non-operating mark-to-market gains; if anything net income is conservative (high effective tax). Clean.
❌Valuation Ceiling (Gate 3)
TRIGGERED. Warranted multiple 22.4× vs actual forward P/E 50.4× → ratio 2.25 (≥ 1.40 Expensive), AND actual ≥ the IT/Software guardrail line (33×). Both arms fire → signal CAPPED at HOLD on all three horizons regardless of driver tailwind.
⚠️Do-Not-Buy Trigger 2 (deep-expensive)
EXAMINED, does NOT fire. Ratio 2.25 (≥ 2.0×) and fwd P/E 50 (≥ 1.5× guardrail = 49.5) meet arm (a)'s deep-expensive threshold, BUT the 'exceptional, proven, durable growth' exemption applies (rev +26% YoY, QNX backlog +85% to ~US$950M, both segments Rule-of-40, five consecutive profitable quarters). Arm (b) also fails — no live de-rating catalyst and the name is NOT in the AI mega-cap cohort, so no armed systemic tail. Result: HOLD, not DO-NOT-BUY.
⚠️Price vs highest analyst target
C$16.37 sits at ~96% of the highest analyst target (C$17.04) and ~30-64% ABOVE the mean/median (C$11.48 / C$10.01). The own-target ceiling arm does not quite fire, but upside to consensus is negative — scarce margin of safety.
3
Pillar Detail: Business Quality
A deep dive into the Quality score: business economics, moat, ROIC and the industry benchmark.
Business Quality — Pillar Score
Solid, sticky, newly-profitable niche software — durable QNX moat, thinner Secure Comms
61
conf 70% · Turnaround → Growth (now profitable)
Lifecycle: Turnaround → Growth, now GAAP-profitable. BlackBerry has completed the pivot from a shrinking, loss-making legacy vendor to a focused, cash-generative infrastructure-software company. Q1 FY27 (May-2026): revenue US$152.9M (+26% YoY), GAAP operating income ~US$15.4M, adj. EBITDA +144% YoY, and the first positive operating cash flow quarter in nine years — the fifth straight quarter of positive GAAP net income.
| Quality sub-signal | Reading | Benchmark |
|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM) | +26% YoY | Strong |
| Rule of 40 (growth 26% + FCF margin ~18%) | ~44 | Healthy (>40); both segments clear it |
| Gross margin (TTM) | 77% | Healthy 70-80% |
| Net margin / Operating margin | 10.3% / 11.4% | Improving off a loss base |
| ROE | 8.1% | Modest — small equity base, early profitability |
| Balance sheet | Net cash; current ratio 2.2× | Strong |
| QNX royalty backlog | ~US$950M (+85% YoY) | Contracted future royalties |
SaaS benchmark — Rule of 40 ≈ 44 (Healthy). Growth + profitability both real; management states QNX and Secure Comms each independently clear Rule-of-40. Gross margin (77%) and net-cash balance sheet are best-in-class for the size. What caps quality below 'strong' is scale (only ~US$580M revenue), a single-digit ROE, a historically lumpy track record, and one soft engine (Secure Comms competes in a commoditising space against far larger vendors).
Switching costs (QNX)HighISO-26262-certified RTOS designed into 10-15yr vehicle programs; ripping it out mid-cycle is a re-certification nightmare. 275M+ vehicles installed.
Scale / installed baseHighReference platform at BMW, Volvo, Mercedes and Tier-1s; each design win becomes a multi-year per-unit royalty stream.
Switching costs (Secure Comms)ModerateGovernment/regulated-enterprise relationships (e.g. Shared Services Canada) and compliance certifications are sticky, but the category is contested by much larger cyber vendors.
Brand / trustModerateSecurity heritage is an asset in gov/regulated buyers; irrelevant to consumers.
Competitive Environment. Two very different competitive fields — a durable one (QNX) and an exposed one (Secure Comms).
| Competitor | Threat type | Share trajectory (BB vs rival) | Moat-erosion vector |
|---|
| Green Hills (INTEGRITY) | Direct safety-RTOS rival | Stable / slight gain | Low — both protected by safety-cert lock-in |
| Wind River VxWorks (Aptiv) | Direct RTOS rival | Stable | Low-moderate — Tier-1 ownership can bundle |
| Linux / Android Automotive (Google) + AUTOSAR | Open-source substitution | Losing at non-safety infotainment tier; holding at safety-critical | Moderate — open-source encroaches the low-safety domains; QNX defends the ASIL-rated core |
| CrowdStrike / Palo Alto / Cisco / Microsoft | Larger, better-funded cyber (Secure Comms) | Losing / niche | Elevated — commoditisation + scale disadvantage |
→ Net effect on moat: Switching Costs held High for QNX, trimmed to Moderate for Secure Comms. Overall competitive_threat_level = moderate (QNX moat durable and widening via the royalty backlog; Secure Comms structurally exposed but a minority of the growth story). Propagates to the §11 Bear case (Secure Comms share loss) and §12 thesis-invalidation.
ROIC: modest and early — returns are rising as fixed R&D is levered over a growing royalty base, but absolute ROIC/ROE (~8%) is still single-digit. The quality thesis is durability + inflecting operating leverage, not current returns.
4
Pillar Detail: Valuation Attractiveness
Sector-appropriate multiples, FCF yield, reverse-DCF implied growth, embedded optionality, and the analyst-consensus cross-check.
Valuation Attractiveness — Pillar Score
Expensive — ~2.25× the rate-and-growth-warranted multiple; priced for flawless execution
22
conf 75% · Warranted-multiple anchor (profitable name)
THE ANCHOR — Warranted-Multiple Valuation. A company is worth the present value of its future cash flows: growth (g) raises the warranted multiple, the discount rate (r) lowers it.
| Input | Value | Basis |
|---|
| Risk-free (UST 10Y) | 4.48% | Macro 2026-07-03 (the anchor rate) |
| Equity risk premium | +4.50% | Fixed ERP |
| Risk add-on | +1.50% | Small-cap / turnaround / beta 1.48 |
| Discount rate r | 10.5% | Sum |
| g_near (yrs 1-5) | 15% | 0.75 × consensus, capped at the secular-growth 15% bucket |
| g_term (yr 6+) | 3% | Long-run nominal GDP |
| Warranted P/E (two-stage) | 22.4× | Σ growth 5.65 + terminal 16.77; under the 33× guardrail cap |
| Actual clean forward P/E | 50.4× | val_multiple_basis: clean fwd P/E |
| Actual ÷ warranted | 2.25 | → Expensive band |
Two independent red flags. (1) The ratio 2.25 is well past the 1.40 Expensive line; (2) the actual fwd P/E (50×) is itself above the IT/Software guardrail 'rich line' (33×) — Expensive on the floor alone, no growth story overrides it. Both fire Gate 3 Valuation Ceiling → HOLD. The ratio also brushes the DNB Trigger-2(a) deep-expensive threshold (≥2.0×), and is spared DO-NOT-BUY only by the proven-durable-growth exemption (see Gates).
Anchor fair value: 22.4× × forward EPS (~C$0.325) ≈ C$7.3. That is the pure rate-and-growth-warranted number — roughly where the Bear scenario lives. Even the analyst mean (C$11.48) and median (C$10.01) sit 30-40% BELOW the C$16.37 spot.
Implied-growth read (narrative colour): at C$16.37 / ~50× forward earnings the market is embedding sustained ~30%+ compounding for years; our disciplined estimate is ~15% — the price embeds materially more growth than the fundamentals support.
Relative cross-checks (all confirm Expensive): P/S 16.5×, P/B 9.0×, trailing P/E ~117×. Yahoo analyst mean C$11.48 (−30% vs spot), median C$10.01. FMP consensus US$10.54 / high US$13 — even against the USD listing (~US$11.5) the price is above consensus and near the USD high. Grades: 0 Strong-Buy / 2 Buy / 12 Hold / 0 Sell — consensus Hold. Earnings quality is clean, so no adjustment rescues the multiple.
Thin coverage caveat: only 3 price targets and 1-4 EPS estimators — confidence haircut applied.
5
Pillar Detail: Underlying Drivers
The dominant external force the stock is tethered to, scored 0–100. A context pillar: it does not change the base signal — it feeds amplification (tailwind ≥65 can lift BUY→STRONG BUY; headwind ≤35 can push SELL→STRONG SELL).
The demand engines are (1) global auto production and rising software content per vehicle, (2) conversion of the ~US$950M QNX design-win backlog into per-unit production royalties, and (3) government/enterprise cyber demand (UEM + Critical Event Management). Not a commodity name — revenue is contracted and recurring.
| Horizon | Driver read | Effect |
|---|
| Short (0-4w) | Auto SAAR steady; no dated catalyst until Q2 earnings 24 Sep | Neutral / mild |
| Medium (1-6m) | Backlog converting; high development-license revenue; FY27 guidance raised to US$594-621M (QNX US$295-312M) | Tailwind |
| Long (6-18m) | Software-defined-vehicle content-per-vehicle secular; new wins at BMW/Volvo; gov cyber (Shared Services Canada) | Tailwind |
Amplification note: the driver tailwind is real and improving, but per the circularity/ceiling discipline it can only amplify — it does NOT lift the signal above HOLD because the Valuation Ceiling (Gate 3) is binding. A live commodity/auto-cycle downturn would remove the amplification and arm the Bear case.
6
Pillar Detail: Economic Alignment
How the current economic climate sits relative to this stock, read from the latest Macro-Economic report. Classifies the macro pressure (Tailwind / Neutral / Headwind) — the second amplification input — and frames a long entry as Trend-Following or Contrarian with a 0–100 conviction.
Software sits in XLK, rated O/O/O in the 2026-07-03 macro report — a mild Tailwind, moderate conviction, Trend-Following stance. Regime is Contested (Soft-Landing / Stagflation co-lead 30/30), VIX 16.6 risk-on, UST10Y 4.48%. Not in the AI mega-cap cohort, so no macro AI tail (positive or negative) inherited.
Source: sector-map · Macro report 2026-07-03
7
Pillar Detail: Entry/Exit Timing
The risk-reward framework, relative strength vs SPY and the sector ETF, the macro overlay, news-derived sentiment, and the catalyst cluster.
Entry/Exit Timing — Pillar Score
Extended / overbought — poor risk-reward at entry after a ~4× run
38
conf 60% · momentum strong but stretched
The higher timeframes are all in clean uptrends and BB is the strongest performer in its cohort — trend is unambiguously up. But entry timing is poor: weekly RSI 82.8 is a rare overbought reading, price is ~130% above the 200-DMA (~C$7.1) and ~16% above the 20-DMA (~C$14.1) after roughly quadrupling off the C$4.35 52-week low. The hourly and 15-min charts are already rolling over.
| Timing sub-signal | Reading | Effect |
|---|
| Weekly RSI | 82.8 (extreme overbought) | Mean-reversion risk high |
| Extension vs 200-DMA | +130% | Stretched |
| Relative strength | Top of cohort | Momentum intact |
| Risk-reward at spot | Downside to C$12-14 vs weighted target ~C$13 | Negative expectancy |
| ATR (daily) | ~C$1.36 (~8%/day) | High volatility, beta 1.48 |
Chasing strength here buys into thin air. A constructive entry needs a pullback into the C$12-14 support shelf that holds a higher low, or a post-earnings reset. Levels in CAD (USD Polygon levels converted at ~1.42).
8
Economic Event Risk
High-impact macro releases in the next 14 days that could swing this stock, plus the last 7 days of surprises.
Upcoming events (next 30 days)
| Date | Event | Impact | Forecast | Previous | Relevant? | Why |
|---|
| 2026-09-24 | BlackBerry Q2 FY27 earnings | High | EPS US$0.04 / rev US$144M | EPS US$0.014 (Q1) | Yes | Next hard catalyst — QNX backlog conversion + whether the raised FY27 guide holds |
Recent surprises (last 7 days)
| Date | Event | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Impact |
|---|
| 2026-06-25 | BB Q1 FY27 results | Rev +26%, op inc US$15M, backlog ~US$950M, guide raised | Beat | Positive | High |
No dated company or high-impact macro catalyst inside the 4-week window; the binding event is Q2 FY27 earnings on 24 Sep. Contested macro regime — see the 2026-07-03 macro report.
9
Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis
Trend, RSI and breakout status across monthly / weekly / daily / hourly / 15-minute, with a confluence verdict.
| Timeframe | Trend | Direction | RSI | MACD | Key S/R | Breakout | Vol |
|---|
| Monthly | Uptrend | ↑ | 74 | Bullish | res breakout | Breakout | 0.3× |
| Weekly | Uptrend | ↑ | 83 | Bullish | 18.5 R / 14 S | Breakout (o'bought) | 1.5× |
| Daily | Strong Uptrend | ↑ | 65 | Bullish | 14.1 / 11.4 (CAD) | Breakout | 1.2× |
| Hourly | Weakening | ↓ | 33 | Bearish | 16.0 S | Pullback | low |
| 15-min | Downtrend | ↓ | 39 | Bearish | 15.9 S | Breakdown | low |
| Confluence: Bullish but extended / overbought · MTF Score 62 |
All higher timeframes are in clean uptrends and the name is the best performer in its cohort — confluence is bullish. BUT it is extremely extended: weekly RSI 82.8 (rare overbought), price ~130% above the 200-DMA (~C$7.1) and ~16% above the 20-DMA (~C$14.1), after a roughly 4× move off the C$4.35 52-week low. The hourly/15-min are already rolling over. Chasing here is buying strength into thin air; the risk-reward at entry is poor (downside to C$12-14 support versus a weighted target below spot). Levels shown in CAD (USD Polygon levels converted at ~1.42).
10
Price Chart (6-Month Daily)
A 6-month daily close line with SMA50 and key support/resistance — the visual companion to the MTF table.
BB.TO weekly close (CAD), Jan-Jul 2026 — ~4× off the C$4.35 low; now ~130% above the 200-DMA and brushing the C$18.45 high.
11
Scenario Summary
Bull / Base / Bear 12-month price paths with triggers and probability weights.
Bull C$20 (25%)
QNX backlog converts faster than modelled, development-license momentum sustains, Secure Comms gov wins compound, and the market keeps paying ~50× on the raised FY27 guide — a continued re-rating. Requires flawless execution AND multiple persistence.
Base C$12 (50%)
Growth normalises toward the mid-teens and the multiple partially de-rates toward analyst consensus (mean C$11.48 / median C$10.01) — still a healthy premium to the C$7.3 warranted anchor. This is a partial reversion, not a collapse.
Bear C$8 (25%)
The multiple compresses toward the software norm / warranted anchor (~C$7-8) on an auto-cycle slowdown, backlog-conversion slippage, or accelerating Secure Comms share loss to CrowdStrike/Palo Alto/Microsoft. Lands near the analyst low (C$7.40).
Probability-weighted fair value ≈ C$13.0 (0.25×20 + 0.50×12 + 0.25×8) — below the C$16.37 spot. The distribution is downside-skewed: the base and bear both sit under today's price, and only the bull (which needs both flawless execution and multiple persistence) clears it. That is the quantitative case for HOLD despite a genuinely improving business.
12
Entry / Exit Rules
Three independent entry paths (Fundamental · Technical · Catalyst) and three exit triggers (Stop-Loss · Thesis · Profit-Target). Any one entry path is a valid entry — the more that agree, the larger the position the conviction ladder suggests. Exits are graded by severity, not count.
How to read this — the Conviction Ladder
The three entry groups are alternative paths to a buy, not a checklist. A group counts only when all its sub-conditions hold. How many groups are satisfied sets the suggested size — it does not gate whether you may enter: 1 group = Half-Size (a valid starter/scale-in), 2 = Full-Size, 3 = Over-Size (highest conviction); 0 = Wait (no path open yet). A strong overall signal can still read Wait here when the stock is well above its entry zones — that flags "good business, no entry edge right now," not a contradiction. Exits are graded by severity of what is live, not by a count: a hard stop is an Exit on its own.
Entry conviction: Wait0 of 3 groups met — no entry path open
Fundamental — not MET
No valuation cushion — price is ~2.25× the warranted multiple and 30-64% above analyst mean/median.
⛔ Price C$16.37 below fair-value anchor (~C$7.3 warranted / ~C$11.5 analyst mean)
✅ No earnings within 7 days (next 2026-09-24)
✅ Underlying-Driver score ≥ 50 (64)
Technical — not MET
Extreme overbought after a ~4× run; wait for a pullback that holds.
⛔ Pullback into C$12.3-14.0 support with a higher low
⛔ Weekly RSI back below 70 (currently 82.8)
✅ Daily holds above the 50-DMA (~C$11.4)
Catalyst — not MET
No event in the 4-week window; Q2 FY27 not until 24 Sep.
· Post-earnings beat + guidance raise (next 2026-09-24)
Forecast: No entry path is live (0 of 3): valuation blocks Fundamental, the ~+200% YTD run leaves Technical extreme-overbought, and the next catalyst (Q2 FY27, 24 Sep) is ~11 weeks out. Earliest constructive setup is a mean-reversion pullback into C$12-14 that holds a higher low — watch through late July; otherwise revisit at the Sept print.
Exit action: Trima soft trigger is live — take partial profits
Stop-Loss — not LIVE
⛔ Two daily closes below C$12.30 (pre-breakout base, near the 50-DMA)
Thesis Invalidation — not LIVE
⛔ QNX royalty-backlog conversion stalls or auto SAAR turns down
⛔ OR Secure Comms share loss to CrowdStrike/Palo Alto/Microsoft accelerates
⛔ OR two consecutive quarters back to GAAP losses
Profit-Target — LIVE
✅ Weekly RSI > 80 (82.8) brushing the C$17.0-18.45 supply zone
Forecast: For an existing holder, extreme overbought (weekly RSI 82.8) into the C$17.0-18.45 supply zone argues for trimming into strength (1 of 3 exit paths live → Trim). The C$12.30 stop is ~25% below spot and unlikely to trigger near-term given the intact higher-timeframe uptrend.
Imagine you act at the current price of C$16.37 · as of 3 Jul 2026
What if you bought now?
Buying here risks ~25% to the C$12.30 stop to chase a probability-weighted target of ~C$13 — negative expectancy. The Valuation Ceiling is the binding constraint, not the (good) business.
What if you sold now?
A holder would be giving up a best-in-class turnaround with a real royalty inflection — but locking a ~3-4× gain from the C$4.35 low into extreme overbought and a downside-skewed scenario set is defensible. Trim, don't necessarily exit.
13
Position Sizing Context
Illustrative portfolio math (not advice) translating conviction into an allocation given risk-per-share and volatility.
Position sizing not computed — specify your portfolio allocation and role for sizing guidance.
14
Calibration Snapshot
Machine-readable snapshot of every score, level and signal, saved alongside the HTML so the next run can compute deltas.
{
"ticker": "BB.TO",
"date": "2026-07-03",
"version": "v6",
"exchange": "TSX",
"exchange_ticker": "TSX:BB",
"isin": "CA09228F1036",
"api_ticker": "BB.TO",
"currency": "CAD",
"analysis_status": "donatien-pick",
"finder_ticker": "BB.TO",
"finder_exchange": "TSX",
"lifecycle_stage": "growth",
"price_at_rating": 16.37,
"signal_short": "HOLD",
"signal_medium": "HOLD",
"signal_long": "HOLD",
"quality_score": 61,
"valuation_score": 22,
"timing_score": 38,
"drivers_score": 64,
"economic_alignment_score": 60,
"economic_alignment_stance": "Trend-Following",
"economic_alignment_conviction": 60,
"economic_alignment_pressure": "Tailwind",
"economic_alignment_source": "sector-map",
"macro_report_date": "2026-07-03",
"warranted_multiple": 22.4,
"actual_multiple": 50.4,
"val_multiple_basis": "clean fwd P/E",
"discount_rate_r": 0.105,
"risk_free_10y": 0.0448,
"g_near": 0.15,
"g_term": 0.03,
"warranted_ratio": 2.25,
"val_band": "expensive",
"nonop_pct_of_net_income": 2,
"clean_pe": 114,
"clean_peg": 1.9,
"competitive_share_trajectory": "stable",
"competitive_threat_level": "moderate",
"hard_gate_state": "caution",
"gate3_valuation_ceiling": "triggered",
"dnb_triggers": [],
"entry_groups_met": 0,
"entry_conviction": "Wait",
"exit_groups_live": 1,
"exit_action": "Trim",
"scenario_base_target": 12,
"scenario_bull_target": 20,
"fair_value_anchor": 7.3,
"weighted_fair_value": 13.0,
"stop_price": 12.3,
"next_update_date": "2026-07-17",
"next_update_basis": "default +14d (Q2 FY27 earnings 2026-09-24 is the next hard catalyst)"
}
First report (Donatien Pick). BlackBerry is a genuinely improved business — profitable, cash-generative, +26% revenue, a ~US$950M QNX royalty backlog and both segments clearing Rule-of-40 — but at C$16.37 (fwd P/E ~50× = 2.25× the 22.4× warranted multiple, and above the software guardrail) the Valuation Ceiling (Gate 3) caps the signal at HOLD on all three horizons. It sits on the DNB deep-expensive boundary and is spared only by the proven-durable-growth exemption. Probability-weighted fair value ~C$13 is below spot; entry ladder reads Wait (0/3). Revisit on a pullback into C$12-14 or after Q2 FY27 earnings (24 Sep).
15
Data Sources & Methodology
Audit trail of every data source: fully available (✓), fallback (⚠), or failed (✗), plus provenance-based confidence haircuts.
Data Source Status
✓
get_yahoo_quote(BB.TO) CAD price 16.37, 52wk 4.35-18.45, mcap C$9.6B, fwd P/E 50.4, trailing 116.9, beta 1.48
⚠
get_yahoo_analyst_targets(BB.TO) thin — 3 targets: mean C$11.48 / median C$10.01 / high C$17.04 / low C$7.40; rec Hold
✓
get_income_statement(BB) USD quarterly; Q1 FY27 rev 152.9M, op inc 15.4M, net 8.5M; earnings-quality check (net
✓
get_financial_ratios(BB) TTM: gross margin 77%, net 10.3%, current 2.2×, D/E 0.29, interest cov 14.7×
✓
get_multi_timeframe_analysis(BB) USD technicals; weekly RSI 82.8 o'bought, daily strong uptrend; levels converted to CAD at ~1.42
✓
get_stock_prices(BB.TO) CAD weekly closes for the chart
✓
get_earnings_calendar(BB) next earnings 2026-09-24 (Q2 FY27), EPS est US$0.04 / rev US$144M
⚠
get_analyst_estimates(BB) thin (1-5 estimators): FY27 EPS ~0.19, FY28 ~0.23, revenue FY27 ~US$616M
✓
get_grades_consensus(BB) 0 StrongBuy / 2 Buy / 12 Hold / 0 Sell — consensus Hold
✓
get_price_target_consensus(BB) USD consensus 10.54 / high 13 / low 8 — price above consensus even vs USD listing
✓
WebSearch (QNX backlog, Q1 FY27) backlog ~US$950M +85% YoY, 275M+ vehicles, both segments Rule-of-40, FY27 guide raised
Impact on scores: Thin analyst coverage (3 price targets / 1-4 EPS estimators) → confidence haircut applied across pillars. Fundamentals reported in USD while the security trades in CAD; USD technical levels converted at ~1.42 CAD/USD. No data gaps material to the HOLD verdict.
DISCLAIMER: This is a quantitative framework for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.