NASDAQ:AVGO Signal v6 — Broadcom Inc.

Horizon	Signal	Composite Score	Confidence	Key Driver
Short-term (1-3 mo)	HOLD	58	62%	Sharp post-earnings breakdown; daily/intraday in a downtrend, hawkish-Fed tape — don't chase the falling knife
Medium-term (6-12 mo)	BUY (accumulate)	66	66%	Elite quality + reasonable forward valuation after the 24% pullback; macro headwind keeps it from STRONG
Long-term (3-5 yr)	STRONG BUY	73	68%	AI custom-silicon + VMware annuity (Strong Tailwind) and the long-horizon tech economic tailwind amplify the BUY

Five-Pillar Scorecard

Five independent scores — Business Quality, Valuation Attractiveness, Entry/Exit Timing, Underlying Drivers, and Economic Alignment — each 0–100 with a confidence percentage. The per-horizon base BUY/HOLD/SELL comes from the three fundamental pillars (Quality / Valuation / Timing) via the Decision Matrix; the two context pillars (Underlying Drivers, Economic Alignment) then amplify a BUY to STRONG BUY or a SELL to STRONG SELL only when both corroborate.

Business Quality

Elite: 67% GM, 39% net margin, 33% ROE, AI-silicon + VMware moat

Confidence: 80%

Valuation Attractiveness

At the Fair/Attractive boundary — rich on trailing P/E, reasonable on fwd PEG 0.90

Confidence: 85%

Entry/Exit Timing

Higher TFs up, but a sharp post-earnings breakdown on daily/intraday

Confidence: 65%

Underlying Drivers

AI custom-silicon (XPU/ASIC) + AI networking + VMware annuity

Confidence: 65% · STRONG-eligible (Strong Tailwind)

Economic Alignment

Contrarian · Headwind (S/M) → Tailwind (L)

Confidence: 70% · Macro report 2026-06-13

How the signals were built

Base Decision Matrix on the three fundamental pillars (Quality 86 = High, Valuation 65 = Attractive, Timing 44 = Neutral) → BUY. Horizon weighting then differentiates: short-term is timing-dominated (55%) into an active breakdown → presented as HOLD; medium-term is balanced → BUY (accumulate on weakness), left un-amplified because the medium-horizon economic pressure on tech is a Headwind; long-term is quality-dominated (55%) and the long-horizon economic pressure flips to a Tailwind (XLK long = Outperform) which, alongside the Strong-Tailwind driver (80), amplifies the BUY to STRONG BUY.

✅

Financial Distress — CLEAR
Net debt/EBITDA ~1.1x, interest coverage ~11x, current ratio 2.24. VMware debt has been deleveraged hard.

⚠️

Valuation Ceiling — CAUTION (not triggered)
Trailing EV/Rev ~24x > 20x — but that clause binds only on a non-hypergrowth name, and FY26 consensus revenue ~$105B is +66% over FY25's $63.4B (hypergrowth), so it does not apply. The primary semis multiple, forward P/E, is 32.6x (FY26) / 19.4x (FY27) with PEG 0.90 — not extreme; and price sits below the lowest analyst target ($400). Ceiling not breached.

✅

Earnings Event — CLEAR
Q2 FY26 already reported (early June); next print ~Sep 2026 — well outside the 14-day window.

✅

Dilution / Accounting — CLEAR
Share count +~1.8%/yr (<5%); SBC ~5% of revenue (web-estimated), well below the 25% red-flag. Note: tangible book is negative (−$8.10/sh) from VMware goodwill — structural, not a distress signal.

✅

Binary / Regulatory — CLEAR
No pending FDA/antitrust ruling that is genuinely binary. Export-control risk to China AI chips is a tail risk, not a dated binary event.

✅

Severe Driver Collapse — CLEAR
Driver score 80 (Strong Tailwind) — nowhere near the ≤15 collapse threshold.

Do-Not-Buy triggers — none fired

(1) Leverage+rising-rates: net debt/EBITDA 1.1x ≪ 4x → clear even with a hawkish Fed. (2) Valuation at 5-yr extreme without growth acceleration: forward growth is accelerating (FY26 consensus rev ~+66% YoY) → clear. (3) Persistent negative EPS revisions: estimates are rising → clear. (4) Insider-selling spike: none evidenced → clear. (5) Structural business-model threat: none → clear. Net hard-gate state: CAUTION (the optical revenue multiple), no Do-Not-Buy.

Lifecycle & Sector Classification

Lifecycle: Growth (TTM revenue +32% YoY, +48% latest quarter, highly profitable and inflecting higher on AI). Sector: hybrid — Semiconductors (AI accelerators/ASICs + networking) scored on gross margin, ROIC and AI-revenue momentum, blended with Infrastructure Software (VMware) scored on recurring revenue and software margin, weighted by mix (~60% semi / ~40% software & other).

Sub-Signal	Value	Sector Context	Score	Rationale
Revenue trajectory	+48% YoY (Q2 FY26 $22.19B); +32% TTM	Semi median ~10-15%	92	AI silicon + a full year of VMware; accelerating, not decelerating.
Gross margin (semi lens)	67.0% TTM	>55% strong for fabless	90	Software mix lifts blended GM well above semi peers.
Net / EBITDA margin	38.8% net · 55.7% EBITDA	Top decile across tech	90	Operating leverage compounding as AI scales.
Cash generation (FCF)	FCF ~$32.8B TTM · FCF/OCF 97%	Best-in-class conversion	88	Near-total cash conversion; funds dividend + deleveraging + buyback.
Balance-sheet health	Net debt/EBITDA ~1.1x · int cov ~11x	<2x healthy	80	Post-VMware debt paid down fast; modest leverage now.
Software recurring revenue	VMware → VCF subscription annuity	High-retention, high-margin	82	Converted VMware to subscription; sticky enterprise base.

Industry Benchmark — Semis (GM + Utilisation) blended with Software (Rule-of-40-style)

Semi side: Gross Margin 67% (>55%) with high utilisation and book-to-bill driven by AI orders → top band. Software side: VMware recurring revenue at high margin with growth + profitability comfortably clearing a Rule-of-40 equivalent. Blended Benchmark Score: 88/100. Context: a 39%-net-margin, 67%-GM semis-plus-software hybrid sits in the top quartile of either peer set.

Competitive Moat Scorecard

Moat score = 77/100. The structural advantage is switching cost: once a hyperscaler co-designs an XPU/ASIC with Broadcom, the multi-year design cycle and software stack make it very hard to displace.

ROIC & Capital Allocation

Reverse DCF / Implied Growth

Component	Read	Score
ROIC vs peers (40%)	ROE ~33%; ROIC top-quartile and rising as AI scales (FMP ROE & ROA sub-scores both 5/5)	85
Capital allocation (30%)	Hock Tan's M&A playbook (VMware) is accretive and deleveraged on schedule; dividend payout ~40%, buybacks resuming	80
Management skin in the game (30%)	SBC ~5% of revenue (web-estimated, below the 25% flag); insider ownership modest	60

Multiple	Current	Reference	Read
Forward P/E (FY26)	32.6x	Semi peers ~28-30x	Slight premium, justified by growth + software mix
Forward P/E (FY27)	19.4x	on rising EPS $19.40	Cheap two years out if estimates hold
Trailing P/E	61.0x	own 5-yr range	Optically rich; trailing earnings depressed by VMware amortisation
EV/EBITDA (TTM)	43.7x	elevated	High but compresses fast on FY26 EBITDA ~$56B
EV/Revenue (TTM)	24.3x	>20x — wrong lens here	Caution flag — not the right metric for a 39%-net-margin business
PEG (forward)	0.90	<1 = reasonable	Growth-adjusted, the stock is not expensive
FCF yield	1.83%	3-5% fair	Low — you pay up for the growth/quality
Dividend yield	0.66%	payout ~40%	Small but well-covered and growing

At $376.71 (EV ~$1.84T) against ~$33B TTM FCF and a ~10% WACC, the market is implying roughly 18–22% annual FCF growth for a decade. Consensus has revenue compounding fast near-term (FY26 ~+66% over FY25 / ~+39% over the trailing year) and EPS from $6.75 (FY25) → $11.57 (FY26) → $19.40 (FY27). The market is pricing in less growth than analysts expect — consistent with a Fair-to-slightly-Attractive read after the pullback, not a stretched one.

Embedded Optionality / Free Upside

The core in-production business (current AI silicon + networking + the VMware annuity) justifies roughly $430–450 of the $376.71 price on forward-multiple math. On top, you own — largely un-modelled — for free:

New custom-silicon customers beyond the established hyperscaler base (additional XPU/ASIC programs ramping into 2027) — backlog the Street only partly capitalises.
VMware Cloud Foundation repricing/cross-sell still ramping — software-margin expansion not fully in numbers.
AI-networking share (Tomahawk/Jericho fabric) as Ethernet displaces proprietary interconnects in AI clusters.
Further deleveraging → buyback capacity as FCF compounds.

Net: a credible, sizeable, partly-priced upside that cushions the downside — a +5 tilt on Valuation, not a re-rating of an expensive core. If the in-production business were richly priced on forward metrics it would not be — but it is the trailing optics that are rich, so the optionality is genuine upside, not hope.

Analyst Price Target Consensus

Low	Consensus	Median	High	Coverage
$400 (+6.2%)	$498.19 (+32.2%)	$508.50 (+35.0%)	$582 (+54.5%)	58 analysts (15 in last month, avg $501)

Every covering analyst's target — including the lowest at $400 — sits above the current price. That is unusual and a strong valuation-support signal (price >20% below consensus → analyst-target sub-score 88). Spread is moderate (high < 2x low) → reasonable agreement.

Analyst Grades & FMP Cross-Reference

Grades consensus: Buy — 51 Buy, 7 Hold, 0 Sell (87.9% bullish → sub-score 85). FMP financial-health rating: B (3/5) — dragged down only by the P/E, P/B and D/E sub-scores (all 1/5, i.e. "looks expensive / leveraged on the multiple") while ROE and ROA score a perfect 5/5. The divergence is informative: FMP's penalty is purely valuation-optics, exactly the trailing-multiple richness flagged above — it does not dispute the franchise quality.

Primary Driver

AI custom-silicon (XPU/ASIC for hyperscalers) + AI networking

Secondary: the VMware infrastructure-software annuity

Strong Tailwind · STRONG-eligible

Horizon	Weight	Read	Score
Historical (12-24mo)	25%	AI-capex boom drove Broadcom's AI revenue from a niche to its single largest growth engine through 2024-2026.	90
Current state	50%	Hyperscaler AI capex remains robust and Broadcom just guided AI revenue higher — but a "peak-capex/digestion" debate is precisely what knocked the stock off its high.	78
Forward (6-12mo)	25%	Custom-silicon backlog and new programs point to continued AI-infrastructure spend into 2027; cyclical and export-control risk temper the outlook.	74

Driver = 80 (Strong Tailwind), eligible to amplify a base BUY → STRONG BUY where the economic pressure also corroborates. It does not change the fundamental pillar scores. Thesis-invalidation floor: a sustained hyperscaler AI-capex cut or custom-silicon order push-out that breaks the AI-revenue acceleration narrative — that is the single thing to monitor, and it is exactly what the recent sell-off was sniffing at.

Stance · Conviction

Contrarian · 62

Source: sector-map (AVGO not on the macro watchlist) — GICS Technology → XLK

Pressure

Headwind (S/M)

→ Tailwind (L)

The 2026-06-13 macro report runs a Stagflation regime (oil shock + hawkish Fed, 44% weight) and maps Technology (XLK) to Short: Underperform · Medium: Underperform · Long: Outperform. Anchoring on the medium horizon, the economic pressure on Broadcom is a Headwind — high real rates compress growth-multiple stocks and the AI trade is the crowded long being de-risked. That makes a near-term long position Contrarian. Conviction is a solid 62: the contrarian case is justified by (a) a 24% valuation washout to fwd PEG 0.90, (b) oversold daily/intraday technicals, and (c) an intact, strengthening driver — but it is fighting a live hawkish-Fed tape, which keeps conviction short of high. Crucially, the macro report's long-horizon tech signal flips to Outperform (Tailwind), so over 3-5 years macro stops fighting the position and starts helping it.

Amplification effect: at Short/Medium the Headwind pressure means a BUY is not lifted to STRONG BUY (and the Short base is HOLD anyway, never amplified). At Long, the pressure is a Tailwind which — together with the Strong-Tailwind driver (80) — amplifies the long BUY to STRONG BUY.

Sub-Signal	Reading	Weight	Score
MTF trend confluence	Monthly/weekly up; daily weakening; hourly/15-min strong downtrend → tool confluence "bearish", but higher TFs intact	30%	53
Risk-reward assessment	Price near the $370 swing low; stop ~$355 (below the 200-day) is ~1 ATR away → tight stop possible; R:R favourable to targets	20%	50
Macro regime overlay (Medium weight)	Hawkish Fed, stagflation regime, XLK out of favour short/medium → unfavourable	15%	30
Sentiment (grades + news)	11 maintains + 1 downgrade (Macquarie OW→Neutral) in the post-print window; 88% Buy consensus overall — net slightly soft near-term	18%	45
Catalyst layer	No earnings within 30 days; FOMC 6/17 is the only near event — a calm-ish calendar	17%	62

Relative strength: sharply underperforming over the last month (the −23% slide from the $495 high while peers held up better), but outperforming over three months (up from ~$322 in mid-March). 52-week range position ~70%. Position-risk: daily ATR ~$21 (≈5.6% of price); a stop at $355 is ~$22 / ~1 ATR below the $370 support shelf — a clean, tight invalidation level. The setup is a textbook "higher-timeframe uptrend, lower-timeframe sharp pullback" — favourable for accumulating into weakness over medium/long horizons, unfavourable for chasing short-term.

Recent Surprises (last 7 days)

Date	Event	Impact	Forecast	Previous	Relevant?
2026-06-17	Fed Interest Rate Decision + Projections + Presser	High	Hold 3.75%	3.75%	✅ Yes — rate path drives growth-multiple stocks
2026-06-17	Retail Sales (May)	High	+0.5%	+0.5%	⚠️ Indirect — demand signal
2026-06-25	Core PCE (May)	High	+0.2%	+0.2%	✅ Yes — the Fed's preferred gauge; rate-path read-through
2026-07-01	ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jun)	High	52.5	54.0	✅ Yes — semis track the manufacturing cycle
2026-07-02	Non-Farm Payrolls / Unemployment (Jun)	High	+70K / 4.5%	+172K / 4.3%	⚠️ Medium — labour softening feeds the stagflation read

Date	Event	Actual	Forecast	Surprise	Read
2026-06-10	CPI MoM (May)	0.2%	0.3%	below (cooler)	Mildly positive for growth stocks…
2026-06-10	CPI YoY (May)	4.2%	4.2%	in line	…but still hot at 4.2% YoY — keeps the Fed hawkish
2026-06-11	PPI MoM (May)	1.1%	0.7%	+57% (hot)	Sticky pipeline inflation — stagflation confirming
2026-06-12	Michigan Sentiment (Jun)	48.9	46.0	above	Off the lows but still depressed

For AVGO specifically: the dominant near-term swing is tomorrow's FOMC. The macro report expects a hawkish hold with easing language removed and a ~25% hike risk flagged — a clear headwind for a high-beta (β 1.43) growth multiple. Hot PPI and a still-4.2% CPI keep real rates elevated. This is the macro reason the short-term signal is HOLD rather than BUY, even with the franchise and the pullback both arguing to accumulate. A dovish surprise would be the near-term catalyst that flips the short-term tape.

Timeframe	Trend	RSI	MACD	Key S/R	Breakout	Vol
Monthly	Uptrend ↑	62.6	+, rising	S: 138 · R: 414	Resistance breakout	0.9x
Weekly	Uptrend ↑	51.5	flat/rolling	S: 321 · R: 414	—	0.5x
Daily	Weakening →	45.3 (41 latest)	−, falling (−8.0)	S: 370 · R: 409	Support breakdown	1.0x
Hourly	Strong downtrend ↓	31.5	−	S: 376 · R: 389	Support breakdown	—
15-min	Strong downtrend ↓	39.1	−, basing	S: 377 · R: 380	Support breakdown	—
Confluence	Tool verdict: Bearish — but driven by the lower timeframes; the secular monthly/weekly trends remain up. MTF trend score ≈ 53 (Mixed / Transitioning).

The picture is a sharp counter-trend pullback inside a larger uptrend. Monthly and weekly remain bullish and price ($376.71) is still above its 200-day SMA ($359). The daily has broken its near support and the hourly/15-min are oversold (hourly RSI 31). Key levels: first support is the $370 swing low (6/8-6/9); a clean loss of it opens $359 (200-day) and then a gap toward $322. First resistance is the 50-day ~$409, then the $442 May high and the $495 all-time high. The constructive read: lower-timeframe oversold conditions near a support shelf, in a name whose higher-timeframe trend is intact — a setup to scale into, not to front-run before it bases.

Bull — 30%

$560–582 (+49% to +54%)

Triggers: AI custom-silicon backlog re-accelerates (new hyperscaler programs), VMware annuity compounds, and the Fed pivots dovish in H2 2026 → multiple re-rates back toward the highs. Reaches the Street's high target.

Base — 50%

$470–500 (+25% to +33%)

Triggers: steady AI + software execution, in-line-to-modest beats, FY27 EPS estimates ($19.40) holding, and the macro stabilising. Re-rates toward fair value (~$470) / consensus (~$498) as the pullback resolves.

Bear — 20%

$300–322 (−15% to −20%)

Triggers: "peak AI capex" becomes real — hyperscaler capex cuts / order push-outs — compounded by a hawkish-Fed/stagflation de-rating and/or China export-control hit. Loses the 200-day, fills the gap toward $322 and tests lower.

Probability-weighted ≈ $475 (≈ +26% from $376.71) — consistent with the medium-term BUY (accumulate). The bear case is concentrated in the one variable that matters: the durability of hyperscaler AI capex.

Entry Rules — 2 / 5 met

E1 (Fundamental) — ✅ MET: price ($376.71) < the ~$470 fair-value estimate, AND no earnings within 7 days (next print ~Sep 2026), AND the Underlying Driver (80) ≥ 50 — all three conditions of the fundamental rule hold. Forecast: already true; deepens on any further sell-off.

E2 (Buy-the-dip) — ❌ NOT MET: a pullback that has based on the $359–370 support shelf with the monthly/weekly uptrend intact and daily RSI 35–65. RSI (41) is in band and the higher-timeframe trend is intact, but the daily is still in an active support-breakdown — not yet basing. Forecast: days-to-weeks; needs the daily to stop making lower lows.

E3 (Momentum) — ❌ NOT MET: a daily close above the 20-day SMA (~$415) on >1.5x volume with the MACD histogram positive ≥2 days. Price is ~10% below the SMA and the daily MACD histogram is firmly negative (−7.1). Forecast: ~3-6 weeks / catalyst-dependent.

E4 (Not overbought) — ✅ MET: monthly & weekly RSI < 70 (currently 62.6 / 51.5) — after the 24% pullback the name is no longer extended, so this filter is clear.

E5 (Event clarity) — ❌ NOT MET: entry after the FOMC (Jun 17) is digested and price bases, with guidance maintained/raised. The FOMC is still ahead. Forecast: resolves at / just after tomorrow's decision.

Exit Rules — 0 / 3 live

X1 (Hard stop) — not triggered: SELL if price closes below $355 (below the 200-day SMA / $359 and the $370 shelf) for 2 consecutive days. Forecast: unlikely near-term (~5.8% below spot, ~1 ATR) absent a fresh AI-capex scare or a hawkish-Fed shock.

X2 (Thesis invalidation) — not triggered: SELL if full-year guidance is cut AND AI-revenue growth decelerates below plan AND a hard gate fires. The driver-collapse scenario; none of the three conditions is met today.

X3 (Profit-take) — not triggered: trim into $508 (median target) with RSI > 70. Forecast: a bull-case event, well above spot.

Imagine you act at the current price $376.71 · as of Jun 16, 2026

What if you bought now?

You'd be risking ~$21.71 (−5.8%) to the hard stop to gain ~$93 (+25%) to the base target.

Risking: downside to the $355 stop (−5.8%); the bear case $300–322 (−15% to −20%); plus you'd be buying into a live daily/intraday downtrend, below the $415 entry zone, the day before a hawkish-leaning FOMC (entry rules E2/E3 not yet met).
Gaining: base $470 (+25%) · bull $560–582 (+49% to +54%); a ~0.66% dividend and the compounding of a 39%-net-margin franchise while you wait; and the free custom-silicon + VMware optionality you now own. R:R to base ≈ 4.3:1; to consensus ≈ 5.6:1.
Net: the reward skew is attractive for a medium/long holder, but waiting for the daily to base (or a dovish FOMC) materially improves the short-term entry. Accumulate in tranches rather than chase — assessment, not a buy verdict.

What if you sold now?

You'd be giving up ~+25% base-case upside to protect against a −15% to −20% bear drawdown.

Giving up: the path to $470 (+25%) / consensus $498 (+32%); the dividend and the embedded optionality; and you'd be selling ~20% below the ~$470 fair value and below every analyst target.
Protecting: capital if the "peak AI capex" bear case ($300–322) plays out. But no exit rule is triggered right now — the hard stop ($355), thesis-invalidation and profit-take are all inactive.
Net: with nothing mechanically triggered and price below fair value, this is a hold/accumulate zone, not a sell — only an unrealised long with no stop discipline has a reason to trim here.

No risk budget or portfolio role was specified for this batch run, so a specific position size is not computed. Instead, the volatility context that should constrain sizing:

Catalyst density is low (no earnings within 30 days), so no event-driven size reduction is warranted beyond respecting the high beta. For medium/long horizons, the timing pillar argues for a staggered entry: scale in across ~3 tranches — e.g. a first tranche now, a second near the $359 (200-day) zone, and a third on a confirmed daily base / reclaim of the $409 50-day — to average into the pullback rather than commit at one price.

Calibration Snapshot

A machine-readable snapshot of every score, sub-score, confidence, key level and signal override. Saved alongside this HTML as calibration-AVGO-20260616-1703.json so the next run can compute deltas and the watchlist monitor can act without parsing HTML. This is the first report for AVGO — no prior calibration, so no "Changes Since Last Report".

{
  "ticker": "AVGO", "exchange_ticker": "NASDAQ:AVGO", "isin": "US11135F1012",
  "date": "2026-06-16", "version": "v6", "analysis_status": "on-going",
  "section": "Technology (Contrarian)", "finder_ticker": "AVGO", "finder_exchange": "🇺🇸 NASDAQ",
  "price_at_rating": 376.71, "lifecycle_stage": "growth",
  "signal_short": "HOLD", "signal_medium": "BUY_ACCUMULATE", "signal_long": "STRONG_BUY",
  "quality_score": 86, "valuation_score": 65, "timing_score": 44,
  "driver_score": 80, "driver_label": "Strong Tailwind",
  "economic_alignment_stance": "Contrarian", "economic_alignment_conviction": 62,
  "economic_alignment_pressure": "Headwind", "economic_alignment_source": "sector-map",
  "macro_report_date": "2026-06-13", "macro_sector_signal": "XLK s:U m:U l:O",
  "moat_score": 77, "fcf_yield": 1.8, "forward_pe_fy26": 32.6, "forward_peg": 0.90,
  "ev_revenue_ttm": 24.3, "pe_ttm": 60.99, "net_margin_ttm": 0.3885, "gross_margin_ttm": 0.6696,
  "net_debt_to_ebitda": 1.1, "interest_coverage": 10.96,
  "analyst_consensus_target": 498.19, "analyst_target_high": 582, "analyst_target_low": 400,
  "analyst_target_median": 508.5, "analyst_target_upside_pct": 32.2,
  "analyst_grades_consensus": "Buy", "analyst_bullish_pct": 87.9, "analyst_coverage_count": 58,
  "recent_upgrades_30d": 0, "recent_downgrades_30d": 1,
  "fmp_rating": "B", "fmp_overall_score": 3,
  "overall_confidence": 65, "fair_value_est": 470.00, "stop_loss": 355.00, "target_price": 498.19,
  "hard_gate_state": "caution", "gates_triggered": [],
  "gates_caution": ["Valuation: trailing EV/Rev ~24x optically rich; reasonable on fwd P/E 32.6x / PEG 0.90"],
  "do_not_buy_triggers": [],
  "entry_criteria_total": 5, "entry_criteria_met": 2,
  "exit_criteria_total": 3, "exit_criteria_met": 0, "focus_qualifies": false,
  "next_update_date": "2026-06-30", "next_check_date": "2026-06-30",
  "next_update_basis": "default +14d (no impactful event before Q3 FY26 earnings ~Sep 2026; Semis = Medium macro-sensitivity)"
}

Data Source Status

✓

get_company_profile — identity, sector, mkt cap, beta, 52-wk

✓

get_stock_snapshot — $376.71, −4.37% on day

✓

get_financial_ratios — margins, leverage, FCF, P/E, PEG

✓

get_income_statement — 8 quarters; Q2 FY26 filed 2026-06-09

✓

get_analyst_estimates — FY26-FY30 revenue/EPS consensus

✓

get_price_target_consensus / _summary — $498 consensus, 58 analysts

✓

get_grades_consensus / get_stock_grades — 51 Buy / 7 Hold; 1 recent downgrade

✓

get_ratings_snapshot — FMP B (3/5); ROE/ROA 5, P/E·P/B·D/E 1

✓

get_multi_timeframe_analysis — full 5-TF incl. intraday

✓

get_technical_indicators / get_stock_prices — 6-mo daily, RSI/MACD/SMA/ATR/OBV

✓

get_economic_calendar — FOMC 6/17, Core PCE, ISM, NFP

⚠

get_earnings_calendar — empty; next print inferred ~Sep 2026 from the Q2-on-Q2 cadence (Q2 filed 2026-06-09)

⚠

Macro-Economic report — 2026-06-13; sector-map (AVGO not on macro watchlist)

⚠

SBC % of revenue — ~5% web-estimated; not isolated in MCP income statement

Impact on scores: Data coverage was strong, so confidence is driven mostly by interpretation, not gaps. The empty earnings calendar means the next-update date relies on the inferred ~Sep print (Q2 was just reported), but this does not affect the scores. SBC is web-estimated rather than line-item — a minor caveat on the management-skin-in-game sub-score. Timing confidence (65%) reflects the live FOMC and the split MTF tape rather than missing data. Methodology: five independent pillars → base Decision Matrix (Quality/Valuation/Timing) → amplification (Driver + Economic-pressure) → hard gates → Do-Not-Buy, run per horizon.

NASDAQ:AVGO Broadcom Inc.

Five-Pillar Scorecard

Business Quality

Valuation Attractiveness

Entry/Exit Timing

Underlying Drivers

Economic Alignment

How the signals were built

Hard Gates & Do-Not-Buy Status

Do-Not-Buy triggers — none fired

Pillar Detail: Business Quality

Lifecycle & Sector Classification

Industry Benchmark — Semis (GM + Utilisation) blended with Software (Rule-of-40-style)

Competitive Moat Scorecard

Pricing Power

Network Effects

Switching Costs

Cost Advantage

Intangibles

ROIC & Capital Allocation

Pillar Detail: Valuation Attractiveness

Reverse DCF / Implied Growth

Embedded Optionality / Free Upside

Analyst Price Target Consensus

Analyst Grades & FMP Cross-Reference

Pillar Detail: Underlying Drivers

Pillar Detail: Economic Alignment

Pillar Detail: Entry/Exit Timing

Economic Event Risk

Recent Surprises (last 7 days)

Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis

Price Chart (6-Month Daily)

Scenario Summary